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  • #16
    Thank you very much Manh Hoang Ba for your feedback.
    In my case, here is the procedure I followed: I first selected internal instruments using the Lewbel method, specifying them in the Z-matrix with the z() option. I chose marital status (married) and religion as internal instruments. Then, I added the death of a close relative as an external instrument.

    I ran the different estimations and performed the Sargan–Hansen test. The results show that:
    • For the external instrument (death), the Sargan statistic is zero;
    • For the internal instruments, the test is not significant (p-value > 0.05), meaning that the instruments are valid;
    • When combining both internal and external instruments, the test remains non-significant (p-value > 0.05), confirming their joint validity.
    My question now concerns the interpretation of the in this type of model.
    With the Lewbel method, or more generally with GMM / 2SLS / ivreg2 / ivreg2h estimations, I sometimes obtain a negative or very small positive R².
    So, is the R² really meaningful in this context?

    From what I understand, a negative R² does not imply that the model is misspecified; rather, it suggests that the residual variance has increased as a result of correcting for endogeneity — which often happens when the instruments are weak or only weakly correlated with the endogenous variable.

    I was wondering whether there are references in the literature that discuss this issue, or if it is a common finding in IV/GMM models.
    For reference, my dependent variable is access to the labor market (Currently working, binary: 0 = No, 1 = Yes).

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    • #17
      R2 is not interpretable in the standard way. Wooldridge's Cross Section/Panel Book has a discussion (Ch 5). I've seen people use the square of the correlation coefficient between the actual and predicted value as a Pseudo-R2, but that may be a bit squirrely with your 0/1 DV.

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      • #18
        Thank you George Ford

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        • #19
          Hi Prof. KitBaum ,
          The bug I reported has not yet been fixed. In the latest version 1.1.10, line 668 is the error-causing line and should be disabled, while line 667 should be enabled.
          I have tested on both balanced and unbalanced panel data, using line 667 gives the correct results.

          Click image for larger version

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          Manh Hoang-Ba,
          Facebook,
          Eureka! Uni - YouTube,
          ManhHB94 (Manh Hoang Ba),
          Hoàng Bá Mạnh – Kinh tế lượng: Lý thuyết và ứng dụng

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