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  • Problems with interpretations of xtivreg2 with high F-statistic and high Cragg-Donald Wald F statistic

    Hello all,
    I am running a panel data analysis with multiple firms of 5 countries for 9 years (2014-2022) to examine the interaction effect of Corporate Social Responsibility (L_CSR) on Earnings Management (ABS_DA). I conducted an endogeneity test using xtivreg2 with the industry mean of CSR performance (L.INDCSR_x) as the instrumental variable. Specifically, I used the industry mean of CSR scores as an instrumental variable to address potential endogeneity issues. The result from 2SLS is significant between CSR and ABS_DA. However, the F statistic and Cragg-Donald Wald F statistic are very high in the first stage, 15,382.46 and 27,000 in the second stage, respectively.

    My questions are: 1) Have I made any misspecifications in my regression analysis? 2) How can I address the very high F statistic and Cragg-Donald Wald F statistic observed in the analysis? 3) Would these high values affect the reliability of my results?

    Thank you very much for your help.

    1) Here is the 2SLS code & result:

    Code:
    xi: xtivreg2 ABS_DA (L_CSR = L.INDCSR_x) L_LEV L_SIZE L_GROWTH L_MB L_ROA L_BR L_LOSS L_GDP i.year, fe cluster(Firm_id) first
    i.year            _Iyear_2014-2022    (naturally coded; _Iyear_2014 omitted)
    Warning - singleton groups detected.  181 observation(s) not used.
    Warning - collinearities detected
    Vars dropped:       _Iyear_2022
    
    FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION
    ------------------------
    Number of groups =       592                    Obs per group: min =         2
                                                                   avg =       4.1
                                                                   max =         8
    Warning - collinearities detected
    Vars dropped:  _Iyear_2022
    
    First-stage regressions
    -----------------------
    
    
    FIXED EFFECTS ESTIMATION
    ------------------------
    Number of groups =       592                    Obs per group: min =         2
                                                                   avg =       4.1
                                                                   max =         8
    
    First-stage regression of L_CSR:
    
    Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on Firm_id
    Number of obs =                   2416
    Number of clusters (Firm_id) =     592
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 |               Robust
           L_CSR | Coefficient  std. err.      t    P>|t|     [95% conf. interval]
    -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
        INDCSR_x |
             L1. |  -.9684834   .0078087  -124.03   0.000    -.9837984   -.9531683
                 |
           L_LEV |  -.0187826   .0131859    -1.42   0.154    -.0446437    .0070785
          L_SIZE |    .008681   .0041772     2.08   0.038     .0004883    .0168736
        L_GROWTH |  -.0086074    .002948    -2.92   0.004    -.0143894   -.0028255
            L_MB |  -.0005313   .0006001    -0.89   0.376    -.0017082    .0006456
           L_ROA |  -.0125525   .0242489    -0.52   0.605    -.0601113    .0350064
            L_BR |   .0336876   .0128807     2.62   0.009     .0084251    .0589502
          L_LOSS |   .0014308   .0026607     0.54   0.591    -.0037875    .0066492
           L_GDP |   -.070959   .0165907    -4.28   0.000     -.103498   -.0384199
     _Iyear_2015 |  -.1242973   .0062454   -19.90   0.000    -.1365463   -.1120484
     _Iyear_2016 |   -.068923   .0058886   -11.70   0.000    -.0804722   -.0573738
     _Iyear_2017 |  -.0272291   .0056558    -4.81   0.000    -.0383218   -.0161364
     _Iyear_2018 |   .0255326   .0045209     5.65   0.000     .0166659    .0343994
     _Iyear_2019 |  -.0292436   .0042435    -6.89   0.000    -.0375663   -.0209209
     _Iyear_2020 |  -.0074886   .0035226    -2.13   0.034    -.0143974   -.0005799
     _Iyear_2021 |  -.0265515    .002445   -10.86   0.000    -.0313467   -.0217562
     _Iyear_2022 |          0  (omitted)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    F test of excluded instruments:
      F(  1,   591) = 15382.46
      Prob > F      =   0.0000
    Sanderson-Windmeijer multivariate F test of excluded instruments:
      F(  1,   591) = 15382.46
      Prob > F      =   0.0000
    
    
    
    Summary results for first-stage regressions
    -------------------------------------------
    
                                               (Underid)            (Weak id)
    Variable     | F(  1,   591)  P-val | SW Chi-sq(  1) P-val | SW F(  1,   591)
    L_CSR        |   15382.46    0.0000 |    15504.79   0.0000 |    15382.46
    
    NB: first-stage test statistics cluster-robust
    
    Stock-Yogo weak ID F test critical values for single endogenous regressor:
                                       10% maximal IV size             16.38
                                       15% maximal IV size              8.96
                                       20% maximal IV size              6.66
                                       25% maximal IV size              5.53
    Source: Stock-Yogo (2005).  Reproduced by permission.
    NB: Critical values are for i.i.d. errors only.
    
    Underidentification test
    Ho: matrix of reduced form coefficients has rank=K1-1 (underidentified)
    Ha: matrix has rank=K1 (identified)
    Kleibergen-Paap rk LM statistic          Chi-sq(1)=146.96   P-val=0.0000
    
    Weak identification test
    Ho: equation is weakly identified
    Cragg-Donald Wald F statistic                                   27434.85
    Kleibergen-Paap Wald rk F statistic                             15382.46
    
    Stock-Yogo weak ID test critical values for K1=1 and L1=1:
                                       10% maximal IV size             16.38
                                       15% maximal IV size              8.96
                                       20% maximal IV size              6.66
                                       25% maximal IV size              5.53
    Source: Stock-Yogo (2005).  Reproduced by permission.
    NB: Critical values are for Cragg-Donald F statistic and i.i.d. errors.
    
    Weak-instrument-robust inference
    Tests of joint significance of endogenous regressors B1 in main equation
    Ho: B1=0 and orthogonality conditions are valid
    Anderson-Rubin Wald test           F(1,591)=       2.95     P-val=0.0865
    Anderson-Rubin Wald test           Chi-sq(1)=      2.97     P-val=0.0847
    Stock-Wright LM S statistic        Chi-sq(1)=      3.21     P-val=0.0733
    
    NB: Underidentification, weak identification and weak-identification-robust
        test statistics cluster-robust
    
    Number of clusters             N_clust  =        592
    Number of observations               N  =       2416
    Number of regressors                 K  =         16
    Number of endogenous regressors      K1 =          1
    Number of instruments                L  =         16
    Number of excluded instruments       L1 =          1
    
    IV (2SLS) estimation
    --------------------
    
    Estimates efficient for homoskedasticity only
    Statistics robust to heteroskedasticity and clustering on Firm_id
    
    Number of clusters (Firm_id) =     592                Number of obs =     2416
                                                          F( 16,   591) =    11.06
                                                          Prob > F      =   0.0000
    Total (centered) SS     =  33.73609012                Centered R2   =   0.1716
    Total (uncentered) SS   =  33.73609012                Uncentered R2 =   0.1716
    Residual SS             =  27.94700095                Root MSE      =    .1238
    
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 |               Robust
          ABS_DA | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
    -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
           L_CSR |  -.0735145   .0424734    -1.73   0.083    -.1567609    .0097319
           L_LEV |   .0720565   .0608729     1.18   0.237    -.0472522    .1913651
          L_SIZE |   .0091343   .0195308     0.47   0.640    -.0291453    .0474138
        L_GROWTH |  -.0124812   .0138465    -0.90   0.367    -.0396198    .0146573
            L_MB |  -.0067423   .0019932    -3.38   0.001    -.0106489   -.0028357
           L_ROA |   .0739117   .1130375     0.65   0.513    -.1476376    .2954611
            L_BR |   .0885418   .0683608     1.30   0.195    -.0454428    .2225265
          L_LOSS |   .0140924   .0205092     0.69   0.492    -.0261049    .0542897
           L_GDP |   .2684111   .0780064     3.44   0.001     .1155213    .4213008
     _Iyear_2015 |   .1288262   .0357963     3.60   0.000     .0586667    .1989857
     _Iyear_2016 |   .0522632   .0290552     1.80   0.072    -.0046839    .1092102
     _Iyear_2017 |   .0556726   .0275315     2.02   0.043     .0017119    .1096333
     _Iyear_2018 |   .0343631   .0219225     1.57   0.117    -.0086042    .0773304
     _Iyear_2019 |   .0245027   .0170516     1.44   0.151    -.0089179    .0579233
     _Iyear_2020 |   .1159361   .0160905     7.21   0.000     .0843992     .147473
     _Iyear_2021 |   .1320435   .0150436     8.78   0.000     .1025586    .1615284
     _Iyear_2022 |          0  (omitted)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Underidentification test (Kleibergen-Paap rk LM statistic):            146.956
                                                       Chi-sq(1) P-val =    0.0000
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Weak identification test (Cragg-Donald Wald F statistic):              2.7e+04
                             (Kleibergen-Paap rk Wald F statistic):        1.5e+04
    Stock-Yogo weak ID test critical values: 10% maximal IV size             16.38
                                             15% maximal IV size              8.96
                                             20% maximal IV size              6.66
                                             25% maximal IV size              5.53
    Source: Stock-Yogo (2005).  Reproduced by permission.
    NB: Critical values are for Cragg-Donald F statistic and i.i.d. errors.
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Hansen J statistic (overidentification test of all instruments):         0.000
                                                     (equation exactly identified)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Instrumented:         L_CSR
    Included instruments: L_LEV L_SIZE L_GROWTH L_MB L_ROA L_BR L_LOSS L_GDP
                          _Iyear_2015 _Iyear_2016 _Iyear_2017 _Iyear_2018
                          _Iyear_2019 _Iyear_2020 _Iyear_2021
    Excluded instruments: L.INDCSR_x
    Dropped collinear:    _Iyear_2022
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    with the t of -124, the F will be very large.

    Comment

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