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  • Two-step IV regression with binary endogenous regressor

    Hi everyone,


    I'm estimating the following model via IV regressions:
    Y = b1*W + b2*X +u,
    where Y is a non-negative integer variable; W is a binary endogenous regressor; X are control variables, including continuous and categorized variables, as well as regional and time fixed effects. X, Y, W are individual-level.

    Following Wooldridge (2010) and the previous post, https://www.statalist.org/forums/for...nous-regressor, I tried the three models:
    • just run the 2SLS regression using Z as an instrument for W. Z is continuous and regional-level. i.e., ivregress 2sls Y (W=Z) X
    • use the 2-step IV regression: 1. estimate W = a1* Z + a2* X + v using a logit model and get the fitted value, W_hat; 2. estimate the main equation by IV using W_hat as an instrument for W. i.e., ivregress 2sls (W=W_hat) X
    • use the 2-step IV regression: 1. estimate W = a1*Z + a2*X + v using a logit model and get the fitted value, W_hat; 2. estimate the main equation by IV using both Z and W_hat as instruments for W. i.e., ivregress 2sls (W = Z W_hat) X
    Results:
    In the first and third models, the IV estimates are significantly positive, consistent with the original OLS estimation; however, in the second model, the IV estimate is insignificant. In all three IV regressions, instruments are strong enough that the first-stage F statistics are above 10.

    Questions: why results are inconsistent across these three models? What instruments shall I use?

    Further question: if Y is an ordinal independent variable and the main model is an ordinal logistic regression, how to apply IV in this case?


    Many thanks for your time and help.

    Sincerely,
    Yupu



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