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  • Conditional confidence intervals of the difference of two forecasts produced using "forecast solve"

    In the code below, I'm producing both a baseline and a shocked forecast of a variable y (fb_y and f1_y respectively). The variable effect_y is just the difference of these two means. How would I then calculate a confidence interval for effect_y in Stata 18?

    Code:
    forecast create model1, replace
    forecast estimates reg1
    forecast solve, begin(1) prefix(fb_) simulate(betas, statistic(stddev, prefix(sdb_)) reps(100))
    forecast create model1, replace
    forecast estimates reg1
    forecast adjust x1 = x1 + 1
    forecast solve, begin(1) prefix(f1_) simulate(betas, statistic(stddev, prefix(sd1_)) reps(100))
    
    gen effect_y = f1_y - fb_y
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