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  • PPML RESET Test results

    Dear all,
    I was running a PPML model as follows: bilateral exports = Env. Provisions + Std_ depth + country pair FE + importer FE + Exporter FE.
    when I ran the reset test for this model. I got Prob > chi2 = 0.0009, so I thought of adding another control, which is language. The control reduced the significance a bit but it was still significant. I retested and got Prob > chi2 = 0.0010. So I thought that by adding another control variable that the reset test would adjust. However, whenever I added another control the significance would increase but I will get very small probability 0.0000. The Prob > chi2 = 0.0010 is the closest thing I got to a less than 0.05.
    Any suggestions what might be wrong with the model.
    Just noting that the literature haven't indicated any controls outside the initial the model "bilateral exports = Env. Provisions + Std_ depth + country pair FE + importer FE + Exporter FE." and all the other variables I am using as a control are a matter of trial and error, but it seems like I am not getting closer.
    I would very much appreciate your expert opinion on this.
    Thanks in advance.

  • #2
    As I see it (surely experts on this forum will find better solutions, but just in the meantime) you have two solutions:

    - Ignore it or admit misspecification (that might be my strategy on a paper I'm elaborating at the minute, so this post is relevant for me as well )

    - Include plenty of interactions and higher order polynomials.

    Also note the following recommendation from Santos Silva and Tenreyro (2022): when performing a RESET test, do not include - to obtain fitted values - fixed effects that are numerous and that do not have a lot of observations available to estimate them. These estimates will be very imprecise, noisy and will affect the results of the RESET test.

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    • #3
      Dear Maxence,
      Thank you for your advice. I did include the fixed effects when preforming the RESET test which might have affected my results.
      I also like the interactions idea, I haven't attempted it but I could try.
      Thank you.

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      • #4
        RESET is most sensitive to non-linearity in the Xs (and the FE). It's also sensitive to how many quadratic terms you include in the regression.

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