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  • Trade-offs of predicting trend components using "onestep" versus "filter"

    This is a very broad conceptual question, so thank you in advance to those willing to indulge it.

    I work primarily with time-series economic data. In many different contexts, I use Stata to estimate trend components. Sometimes these are univariate (using the "ucm" command), and sometimes these are common underlying components (using e.g. "sspace" or "dfactor").

    I understand the trade-offs of predicting trends using "smethod(smooth)". Since this is a two-sided method, it utilizes information that would not be present in real-time.

    My question is: are there other trade-offs to bear in mind when choosing between "onestep" and "filter"? Put another way, why wouldn't "filter" (with uses both past and contemporaneous information) always be the preferred choice?


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