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  • Different hazard ratio and coefficient in Cox Regression

    Hello everyone. I am working on Cox regression using a panel dataset. My observation is 4029 with 255 firms. The failure variable is firm exit taking value 1 . Total no of firms that have exited are 20. The main independent variable is corruption.
    My coefficient sign is coming negative for corruption and the hazard ratio is positive. Kindly help me with the same.
    Code:
     stcox Informality_scaled RD ID AGE ROA Leverage1 Par_Size1 GDPPERCAPITA SIZE HHI, efron vce(robust) nohr
    
             failure _d:  Failure
       analysis time _t:  Time
    
    Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -140.80912
    Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -126.07835
    Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -124.21411
    Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -123.46315
    Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -123.14804
    Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -123.09893
    Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -123.0982
    Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood =  -123.0982
    Refining estimates:
    Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -123.0982
    
    Cox regression -- Efron method for ties
    
    No. of subjects      =        4,023             Number of obs    =       4,023
    No. of failures      =           20
    Time at risk         =        99038
                                                    Wald chi2(10)    =       63.12
    Log pseudolikelihood =    -123.0982             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000
    
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       |               Robust
                    _t |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
    -------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    Informality_scaled |  -.0008861   .0003976    -2.23   0.026    -.0016653   -.0001068
                    RD |  -.0912838   .0304677    -3.00   0.003    -.1509995   -.0315682
                    ID |  -.6918332   .7620768    -0.91   0.364    -2.185476    .8018099
                   AGE |   -.053758   .0448858    -1.20   0.231    -.1417326    .0342166
                   ROA |  -.0001181   .0000405    -2.92   0.004    -.0001974   -.0000388
             Leverage1 |   .0402488   .0567644     0.71   0.478    -.0710075     .151505
             Par_Size1 |   .4118916   .3573877     1.15   0.249    -.2885754    1.112359
          GDPPERCAPITA |   .0034515    .000809     4.27   0.000     .0018659     .005037
                  SIZE |  -.1731879   .0644932    -2.69   0.007    -.2995922   -.0467836
                   HHI |   .2210428   .4264988     0.52   0.604    -.6148795    1.056965
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Code:
    . stcox Informality_scaled RD ID AGE ROA Leverage1 Par_Size1 GDPPERCAPITA SIZE HHI, efron vce(robust)
    
             failure _d:  Failure
       analysis time _t:  Time
    
    Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood = -140.80912
    Iteration 1:   log pseudolikelihood = -126.07835
    Iteration 2:   log pseudolikelihood = -124.21411
    Iteration 3:   log pseudolikelihood = -123.46315
    Iteration 4:   log pseudolikelihood = -123.14804
    Iteration 5:   log pseudolikelihood = -123.09893
    Iteration 6:   log pseudolikelihood =  -123.0982
    Iteration 7:   log pseudolikelihood =  -123.0982
    Refining estimates:
    Iteration 0:   log pseudolikelihood =  -123.0982
    
    Cox regression -- Efron method for ties
    
    No. of subjects      =        4,023             Number of obs    =       4,023
    No. of failures      =           20
    Time at risk         =        99038
                                                    Wald chi2(10)    =       63.12
    Log pseudolikelihood =    -123.0982             Prob > chi2      =      0.0000
    
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                       |               Robust
                    _t | Haz. Ratio   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
    -------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    Informality_scaled |   .9991143   .0003972    -2.23   0.026     .9983361    .9998932
                    RD |   .9127586   .0278097    -3.00   0.003     .8598481    .9689249
                    ID |   .5006574   .3815394    -0.91   0.364     .1124242    2.229573
                   AGE |   .9476614   .0425366    -1.20   0.231     .8678533    1.034809
                   ROA |   .9998819   .0000405    -2.92   0.004     .9998026    .9999612
             Leverage1 |    1.04107   .0590957     0.71   0.478     .9314549    1.163584
             Par_Size1 |   1.509671   .5395378     1.15   0.249     .7493303    3.041524
          GDPPERCAPITA |   1.003457   .0008117     4.27   0.000     1.001868     1.00505
                  SIZE |   .8409796   .0542374    -2.69   0.007     .7411204    .9542939
                   HHI |   1.247377   .5320047     0.52   0.604      .540706    2.877624
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Why is the sign of the hazard ratio and coefficient different?

  • #2
    A ratio implies a multiplication rather than an addition. If you multiply something with a number less than 1, than it decreases. If you multiply something with a number larger than one than it increases. So a "negative" ratio is a ratio less than 1 not less than 0.
    ---------------------------------
    Maarten L. Buis
    University of Konstanz
    Department of history and sociology
    box 40
    78457 Konstanz
    Germany
    http://www.maartenbuis.nl
    ---------------------------------

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