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  • Weak IV problem with interaction term

    Hi statalist,

    I'm trying to estimate the following equation with one endogenous variable x and the interaction of the endogenous variable with an exogenous variable w.

    y=b1 x + b2 x*w + b3 w + u

    I have z as an IV for x. It seems natural to use z*w as an instrument for x*w. So I ran the following code:

    Code:
     ivreghdfe y (x c.x#c.w = z c.z#c.w) w, a(CZ#year industry#year) cluster(CZ) // CZ stands for commuting zone
    The problem is, if I regress x on z alone using the code below, the t-stat on z is around 8 (sorry I'm not able to post actual results here because I'm currently using administrative data), which seems like a pretty strong instrument.

    Code:
     reghdfe x z w, a(CZ#year industry#year)) cluster(CZ)
    but when considering the interaction term, the Kleibergen-Paap F-stat from the first regression is around 7. The reason seems to be that conditional on z, z*w is irrelevant to x, and similarly, conditional on z*w, z is irrelevant to x*w. Therefore coefficients a2 and c1 in the following 2 regressions are both insignificant, potentially causing a small first-stage F-stat.

    x=a1 z + a2 z*w + a3 w + e1

    x*w=c1 z + c2 z*w + c3 w + e2

    Would my reasoning be correct in this case? If so, is there any way I could address this situation apart from getting a stronger instrument for x? Any thoughts from you are greatly appreciated. Thanks in advance!
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