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  • Help with interpretation of mediation results from med4way command

    Hello everyone,

    I am using STATA 16.1 and I am having some trouble interpreting some of my mediation results from the med4way SSC command on survival data. I have a binary predictor and have 4 outcomes of interest: all-cause mortality, CVD mortality, cancer mortality and non-CVD/non-cancer mortality. I am investigating mediation by continuous vitamin D serum levels.

    All-cause mortality:

    Code:
    stset survtimeyr, failure(died==1)
    xi: med4way i.sunbedusecat2 vitdserum i.agerec5 sex i.bmi_cat   northco_s  i.smokingstatus  i.vigPA i.employed i.agecompletededu IMDadj depressionGP  , a0(0) a1(1) m( 49.79) yreg(cox) mreg(linear)
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    I used the same code for the other outcomes with the appropriate stset.

    CVD mortality:
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    Cancer mortality:
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    non-CVD/non-cancer mortality:
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    According to the med4way command I have calculated the mediation using the formula ((int med + pie)/TE)*100. Note that none of the mediation from interaction terms are not significant so I did not include them in the calculation. Therefore I used the formula (pie/TE)*100:

    All-cause mortality: (-0.1179004/-0.1426803)*100= 82.6%
    CVD mortality: (-0.1534318/-0.1783579)*100= 86.0%
    Cancer mortality: (-0.0721859/-0.1530608) *100= 47.2%
    Non-CVD/non-cancer mortality: (-0.1773257/-0.1044076)*100 = 169.8%

    I am struggling a little bit with the non-CVD/non-cancer mediation result. I gather that it is possible for the total effect to be smaller than the indirect effect, but does it make sense that the mediation is over 100%? How may I interpret this?

    Many thanks,
    Andrew
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