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  • reconciling elasticities and their interpretations when dependent variable is on a percentage scale

    Dear statalist

    I am trying to estimate the elasticity of my outcome variable y with respect to income.
    y is censored at 0, and it is between 0 and almost one, which suggests the use of the Tobit model(under the usual assumption on residuals) . However, for the sake of simplicity, I am presenting OLS here

    my data for the variable y and income are reported below. I also include the log of income for reference, as I used it in the model (i.e. ln_income).

    input float(y ln_income income)
    .6291617 6.839435 933.9615
    .9945465 7.655005 2111.1853
    .9926049 6.69821 810.9529
    0 7.633141 2065.5273
    0 7.138404 1259.4164
    0 8.019789 3040.534
    .981214 6.830252 925.424
    .8981348 6.331939 562.2459
    .9946473 7.226309 1375.1375
    0 5.830486 340.5242
    0 -4.6051702 .01

    I found this technical note: https://www.stata.com/stata14/fracti...utcome-models/ suggesting to use margins, dyex in the context of fractional regression given that the dependent variable is already a proportion and so is already on a percentage scale (same as mine).

    When I apply this

    regress prob_mod_sev income [pw=wt]
    margins [pw=wt], dyex(income)
    I get

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    | Delta-method
    | dy/ex std. err. t P>|t| [95% conf. interval]
    ----------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    income | -.0018123 .0004174 -4.34 0.000 -.0026304 -.0009943
    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    Differently from the technical note, in my case, the elasticity is computed with margins, dydx because the independent variable of interest appears in log (i.e. ln_income), so it is already on a percentage scale

    regress prob_mod_sev ln_income [pw=wt]
    margins [pw=wt], dydx(ln_income)

    which gives me:

    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    | Delta-method
    | dy/dx std. err. t P>|t| [95% conf. interval]
    -------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
    ln_income | -.0238224 .0002898 -82.20 0.000 -.0243904 -.0232544
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    SO I have two main concerns:
    1. how to reconcile the two results that in principle should be the same (or at least scaled by 100, not by 10 for sure) and which one should I trust?
    2. with reference to the second model: how to interpret the elasticity given my context? so a 1% increase in income would bring a reduction in y by 0.02% or 2%. And with reference to the first?

    Thanks in advance for any help you can provide on this
    Anna


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