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  • Random effects and ICC in multilevel model (meqrlogit)

    Hi Statalist,

    I am running a multilevel model. In my dataset, I have children nested within districts. I am modeling the risk of a child being placed in state care institutions. I am confused between the random effects var(cons_) reported in the output and the ICC (intraclass correlation). I understand the ICC tells me the total proportion of the total variance in my outcome that is accounted for by clustering, that is, an ICC of .06 would mean that 6% of the risk of going into state care is explained by between-district differences.

    My questions are:

    - What is the difference between var(cons_) reported in the output and the ICC. For example, how does one interpret a var(cons_) of 0.14 in a null model (no predictors added)?
    - I have seen papers report statistical significance associated with the random effects at the district level but I do not see a p-value reported, how do we determine whether the random effects are statistically significant?

    Because of data restrictions I cannot share my data but I include an example code and output below where var(_cons) is what I am having difficulty interpreting and determining significance.

    Example code/output:

    Code:
     meqrlogit state_care || district:, or
    
    Refining starting values:
    
    Iteration 0:   log likelihood =  -3296.207  (not concave)
    Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3294.4865  (not concave)
    Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3286.6989  
    
    Performing gradient-based optimization:
    
    Iteration 0:   log likelihood = -3286.6989  
    Iteration 1:   log likelihood = -3286.4405  
    Iteration 2:   log likelihood = -3286.3902  
    Iteration 3:   log likelihood = -3286.3902  
    
    Mixed-effects logistic regression               Number of obs     =      9,611
    Group variable: district                        Number of groups  =         22
    
                                                    Obs per group:
                                                                  min =         74
                                                                  avg =      436.9
                                                                  max =        636
    
    Integration points =   7                        Wald chi2(0)      =          .
    Log likelihood = -3286.3902                     Prob > chi2       =          .
    
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      state_care |       Odds   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
    -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
           _cons |   8.218159   .7437935    23.27   0.000     6.882332    9.813264
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Random-effects Parameters  |   Estimate   Std. Err.     [95% Conf. Interval]
    -----------------------------+------------------------------------------------
    district: Identity           |
                      var(_cons) |   .1497317   .0558011      .0721262    .3108382
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    LR test vs. logistic model: chibar2(01) = 78.69       Prob >= chibar2 = 0.0000
    Last edited by Hale Isaac; 07 Dec 2022, 11:11.
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