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  • marginal effect not consistent with odd ratio

    Hi.
    I am trying to examine the likelihood of migrants live in different regions. my reference category is small city. The issue is that when I run mlogit, rrr for refugee for living in metropolitan areas is greater than 0 but when I run margin it is negative. how come it is possible? if I interpret mlogit, I could say refugees are more likely to live in metropolitan areas than small cities but according to margin they are less likely. any comment?
    result of mlogit Rural Larger cities Metropolitan cities
    Migrant category rrr rrr rrr
    Family 0.782*** 1.51*** 1.554***
    Labor 0.463*** 8.804*** 5.452***
    Refugees 0.402*** 1.731*** 1.135***
    margin result
    dy/dx std. err. z P>z [95% conf. interval]
    Migrant category
    Family 0.0580 0.00189 31 0 0.054901 0.062308
    Labor market 0.116 0.002734 42.5 0 0.110729 0.121444
    Refugees 0.0380 0.002784 -11.5 0 -0.037444 -0.026529

  • #2
    In mlogit there are multiple coefficients for independent variables and multiple marginal effects. Coefficients for each variable can be both positive and negative, as can the marginal effects. I think if you showed the complete results for mlogit and margins it would be clear that there is no contradiction.
    -------------------------------------------
    Richard Williams
    Professor Emeritus of Sociology
    University of Notre Dame
    StataNow Version: 19.5 MP (2 processor)

    EMAIL: [email protected]
    WWW: https://academicweb.nd.edu/~rwilliam/

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