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  • How to interpret VAR model?

    Dear all:

    I have a query about interpreting var model when the prob>chi2 is >.05.

    If I run a simple var model: var d_x d_y , the prob>chi2 is >.05 i.e. non-significant,
    (a) does this mean that I cannot use this model?
    (b) The var model I run (shown below), the variable "d_ldjusst" P>chi2 = 0.1516, does that mean I cannot use this model?
    (c) Actually I also don't know how to interpret Log likelihood, FPE, RMSE, Det(Sigma_ml), R-sq when using var model, could someone help?

    Many thanks!

    Code:
    . var d_leg $d_y,lags(1/3)
    
    Vector autoregression
    
    Sample: 11jan2019 - 29jul2022, but with gaps Number of obs = 119
    Log likelihood = 824.5951 AIC = -13.35454
    FPE = 3.19e-10 HQIC = -13.07004
    Det(Sigma_ml) = 1.92e-10 SBIC = -12.65392
    
    Equation Parms RMSE R-sq chi2 P>chi2
    ----------------------------------------------------------------
    d_leg 10 .035602 0.2054 30.76516 0.0003
    d_lfbx 10 .019752 0.1779 25.74376 0.0022
    d_ldjusst 10 .02262 0.1002 13.24964 0.1516
    ----------------------------------------------------------------
Working...
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