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  • Inconsistent Curvilinear Relationships OLS GMM anf FE Panel Data Regression

    Hello all, I am new here to use Stata. I would like to ask questions about curvilinear relationships using OLS, GMM and fixed effect regression.

    bdirectorships = average number of board directorships
    bdirectorships2 = average number of board directorships^2
    captalexp = capital expenditure divided by total assets
    lev = leverage

    When I use OLS, the results indicate that it is an inverted U-shape relationship. However, when I used fixed effect panel data regression and GMM, the results indicate that it is a U-Shape relationship.

    Partial Results of OLS
    coefficient p-value
    bdirectorships 1.21 0.000
    Bdirectorships2 -0.277 0.000
    captalexp 34.56 0.000
    lev -0.15 0.000
    Since coefficient of bdirectorships is positive (1.21) and the coefficient bdirectorships2 is negative (-0.277), the curvilinear relationship is an inverted U-shape.

    I ran utest after OLS results

    Extreme point: 2.18

    Test:
    H1: Inverse U shape
    Vs H0: Monotone or U shape
    Lower bound Upper bound
    Interval 0 6.91
    Slope 1.205 -2.619
    t-value 6.35 -4.814
    p-value 1.32e-10 7.98e-0.7
    Overall test of presence of a U shape:
    t-value = 4.81
    p-value =7.98e-07


    However, if I run GMM and fixed effect panel effect, the results are different.

    Partial results for fixed effect panel data regression
    coefficient p-value
    bdirectorships -0.055 0.495
    Bdirectorships2 0.0597 0.016
    captalexp 3.451 0.000
    lev 0.0141 0.231
    Since coefficient of bdirectorships is negative (-0.055) and the coefficient of bdirectorships2 is positive (0.0597), the curvilinear relationship is a U-shape.

    Partial results for GMM estimates
    coefficient p-value
    bdirectorships -0.647 0.054
    Bdirectorships2 0.141 0.052
    captalexp 1.93 0.459
    lev 0.0531 0.320
    Similar to results from fixed effect panel data regression, since coefficient of bdirectorships is negative (-0.647) and the coefficient bdirectorships2 is positive (0.141), the curvilinear relationship is a U-shape.

    I have also run a utest after GMM. The result is as follows:

    Utest bdirectorships bdirectorships2

    Extreme point: 2.34

    Test:
    H1: U shape
    Vs H0: Monotone or Inverse U shape
    Lower bound Upper bound
    Interval 0 6.91
    Slope -0.671 1.313
    t-value -1.82 1.73
    p-value 0.035 0.041
    Overall test of presence of a U shape:
    t-value = 1.73
    p-value =0.0418

    May I ask which results I should use for my research (U or inverted U-shape) as there are inconsistent results?

    Thank you very much.

    Steven
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