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  • Scaling fitted values obtained from first stage of IV

    Hi everyone:

    I am running the following regression where I instrument my binary endogenous treatment variable adhd_dx with my instrument q.
    Code:
    svy:ivregress 2sls logtot age_6_10 age_10_13 famsz_0_4 rc2 rc3 rc4 rc5 rg2 rg3 rg4 ins2 ins3 (adhd_dx=q)
    . However, the coefficient on adhd_dx is too big and doesn't seem reasonable in the context that I am studying (the dependent variable is log of expenditure)
    Code:
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 |                 BRR
          logtot |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
    -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         adhd_dx |   4.061351    .654874     6.20   0.000     2.765473    5.357228
    This means that the treatment effect is 100*(exp^4.06 -1)!

    To make sense of the coefficient, I did the following:

    Code:
    svy:reg adhd_dx age_6_10 age_10_13 famsz_0_4 rc2 rc3 rc4 rc5 rg2 rg3 rg4 ins2 ins3 q
    Then obtained the fitted values, yhat. Then scaled yhat :
    Code:
    replace yhat=yhat*100
    and then used the scaled fitted values in the second stage
    Code:
    svy:reg logtot age_6_10 age_10_13 famsz_0_4 rc2 rc3 rc4 rc5 rg2 rg3 rg4 ins2 ins3 yhat
    I get:
    Code:
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                 |                 BRR
          logtot |      Coef.   Std. Err.      t    P>|t|     [95% Conf. Interval]
    -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
            yhat |   .0463319   .0059718     7.76   0.000     .0345147     .058149
    Now, I have two questions:

    1. Is scaling like this okay? I mean, if the original yhat is uncorrelated with unobservables, are the scaled yhats too, since the transformation is linear?

    2. How would I interpret the new coefficient? A 1pp increase in adhd_dx leads to a 100*(exp^0.46 -1) percent increase in expenditure- is this the correct interpretation?


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