I am trying to run intervention analysis with an ARIMA model
I would like to use the following command: tstf OverallInflation if n<209 & n >137, arima(1,1,2) int(185) pulse
However, I receive an error message that says: the R script did not run, see what's wrong in the file tstf_to_r.R
I find this strange because I do not use R or have never used R.
Could someone provide advice on how to effectively conduct my intervention analysis?
Here is a dataex of my data:
Thanks in advance!
I would like to use the following command: tstf OverallInflation if n<209 & n >137, arima(1,1,2) int(185) pulse
However, I receive an error message that says: the R script did not run, see what's wrong in the file tstf_to_r.R
I find this strange because I do not use R or have never used R.
Could someone provide advice on how to effectively conduct my intervention analysis?
Here is a dataex of my data:
Code:
* Example generated by -dataex-. To install: ssc install dataex clear input int Year str3 Month double(OverallCPI OverallInflation FoodCPI FoodInflation NonFoodCPI NonFoodInflation) float(mdate loginflation n smooth banknote rainfall ehat OverallInflationehat res1) 2012 "Dec" 412.9 34.6 342.5 34.6 562.1 34.5 635 3.543854 138 34.399998 0 0 1.5791667 1.7480047 -1.8378342 2013 "Jan" 121.6 35.1 122.5 34.2 123.7 36 636 3.558201 139 35.225 0 1 .7791666 .9447016 -1.0427294 2013 "Feb" 129.7 37.9 136.1 38.2 126.5 37.6 637 3.634951 140 35.85 0 1 3.079167 3.241398 3.23551 2013 "Mar" 129.9 36.4 134.4 34.9 125.9 37.9 638 3.594569 141 36.024998 0 1 -1.2208333 -1.0619048 -2.6936135 2013 "Apr" 127.2 35.8 129.9 33.1 126.1 38.6 639 3.577948 142 34.675 0 1 -.3208333 -.1652079 -.22772422 2013 "May" 127 31 122.2 25.4 133.8 36.6 640 3.433987 143 31.425 0 0 -4.5208335 -4.368511 -3.991645 2013 "Jun" 122.3 27.9 112.8 23.5 133.9 32.5 641 3.3286266 144 28 0 0 -2.8208334 -2.671814 -1.3643637 2013 "Jul" 119.8 25.2 107.7 19.7 134 30.7 642 3.226844 145 25.4 0 0 -2.420833 -2.2751174 -.45695695 2013 "Aug" 119.1 23.3 105.7 17.8 134.4 28.9 643 3.1484535 146 23.5 0 0 -1.6208333 -1.4784205 -.727733 2013 "Sep" 126 21.7 117.1 19.2 137.2 24.2 644 3.077312 147 22.475 0 0 -1.3208333 -1.1817237 -.26420733 2013 "Oct" 129.1 22.2 122.2 19.4 137.8 23.9 645 3.100092 148 22.375 0 0 .7791666 .9149732 1.3043317 2013 "Nov" 135.1 22.9 131.4 21.3 140.3 24.6 646 3.131137 149 22.875 0 0 .9791667 1.11167 .9789055 2013 "Dec" 140.6 23.5 139.3 22 142.9 25.1 647 3.157 150 23.525 0 0 .8791667 1.0083668 .24031304 2014 "Jan" 153.1 25.9 152 24.1 154 30.7 648 3.254243 151 24.025 0 1 2.6791666 2.805064 2.3884115 2014 "Feb" 161.6 24.6 163.9 20.4 159 29.3 649 3.2027464 152 24.15 0 1 -1.0208334 -.8982394 -2.1360464 2014 "Mar" 161.2 24 160.7 19.6 161.4 28.9 650 3.178054 153 24.025 0 1 -.3208333 -.2015426 -.35428 2014 "Apr" 157.7 23.9 152.9 19.5 162.3 28.5 651 3.1738784 154 23.875 0 1 .17916666 .29515427 .7176606 2014 "May" 165.5 22.6 145.9 19.4 130.8 26.4 652 3.11795 155 23.75 0 0 -1.0208334 -.9081489 -1.2221485 2014 "Jun" 149.9 22.5 135.2 19.9 164.4 25.7 653 3.1135154 156 23.7 0 0 .17916666 .28854796 .6004669 2014 "Jul" 146.6 22.3 129.6 20.3 163.4 24.9 654 3.1045866 157 23.7 0 0 .07916667 .1852448 .2083851 2014 "Aug" 148.3 24.5 131.1 24 165.4 25.8 655 3.198673 158 23.7 0 0 2.479167 2.5819416 2.3356376 2014 "Sep" 155.9 23.7 143.7 22.7 168 25.4 656 3.165475 159 23.7 0 0 -.5208333 -.4213615 -1.3072298 2014 "Oct" 159.2 23.3 148.5 21.5 169.8 25.6 657 3.1484535 160 23.7 0 0 -.12083333 -.024664655 -.4591624 2014 "Nov" 167.1 23.7 159.4 21.3 174.6 26.7 658 3.165475 161 23.7 0 0 .6791667 .7720322 1.149288 2014 "Dec" 174.5 24.2 170.1 22.1 178.8 27.2 659 3.186353 162 23.075 0 0 .7791666 .8687291 .3352031 2015 "Jan" 185.6 21.2 184.7 21.5 186.1 20.8 660 3.054001 163 21.45 0 1 -2.720833 -2.634574 -2.962748 2015 "Feb" 193.5 19.7 195 19 191.6 20.4 661 2.980619 164 19.85 0 1 -1.2208333 -1.1378772 -.4468955 2015 "Mar" 190.5 18.2 188.1 17 192.6 19.3 662 2.9014215 165 19.025 0 1 -1.2208333 -1.1411804 -.10337662 2015 "Apr" 187.4 18.8 180.6 18.1 193.9 19.5 663 2.933857 166 18.974998 0 1 .8791667 .9555165 1.1593035 2015 "May" 186.1 19.5 177.1 21.4 194.9 17.8 664 2.9704144 167 19.775 0 0 .9791667 1.0522133 1.0621831 2015 "Jun" 181.7 21.3 168 24.2 195.3 18.8 665 3.058707 168 21.075 0 0 2.0791667 2.14891 1.3315547 2015 "Jul" 179.1 22.2 162.4 25.3 195.6 19.6 666 3.100092 169 22.175 0 0 1.1791667 1.245607 .554446 2015 "Aug" 182.4 23 166.3 26.8 198.3 19.9 667 3.135494 170 23.075 0 0 1.0791667 1.1423038 .175477 2015 "Sep" 193.5 24.1 183 27.3 203.8 21.3 668 3.182212 171 23.95 0 0 1.3791667 1.4390007 1.1130346 2015 "Oct" 198.5 24.7 190.5 28.3 206.2 21.4 669 3.206803 172 24.475 0 0 .8791667 .9356975 .09712333 2015 "Nov" 208.2 24.6 205.5 28.9 210.5 20.6 670 3.2027464 173 24.6 0 0 .17916666 .23239437 -.16191384 2015 "Dec" 217.9 24.9 219.7 29.2 215.8 20.7 671 3.214868 174 24.325 0 0 .57916665 .6290912 .3374279 2016 "Jan" 229.2 23.5 237.3 28.4 220.5 18.5 672 3.157 175 23.75 0 1 -1.1208333 -1.074212 -1.1896832 2016 "Feb" 238.6 23.4 250.8 28.6 226 17.9 673 3.152736 176 23.375 0 1 .17916666 .2224849 .36166435 2016 "Mar" 232.5 22.1 237.8 26.5 226.8 17.8 674 3.095578 177 23 0 1 -1.0208334 -.9808183 -.6754782 2016 "Apr" 226.6 20.9 224.6 24.3 228.4 17.7 675 3.039749 178 22.45 0 1 -.9208333 -.8841214 -.8467293 2016 "May" 226 21.5 222.5 25.7 229.3 17.6 676 3.068053 179 22.300003 0 0 .8791667 .9125754 1.6336147 2016 "Jun" 222.9 22.6 214.6 27.7 230.9 18.2 677 3.11795 180 22.55 0 0 1.3791667 1.4092723 .9921772 2016 "Jul" 221.1 23.5 209.8 29.2 232.1 18.7 678 3.157 181 22.75 0 0 1.1791667 1.205969 .6445929 2016 "Aug" 223.9 22.8 214.1 28.7 233.5 17.8 679 3.1267605 182 22.4 0 0 -.4208333 -.397334 -1.0995753 2016 "Sep" 234.4 21.2 232.3 27 236.2 15.9 680 3.054001 183 21.325 0 0 -1.3208333 -1.300637 -1.1931074 2016 "Oct" 238.3 20.1 238.9 25.4 237.4 15.2 681 3.00072 184 20.35 0 0 -.8208333 -.8039403 -.28367758 2016 "Nov" 249.7 19.9 256.5 24.8 242.4 15.2 682 2.99072 185 20 0 0 .07916667 .09275654 .6497778 2016 "Dec" 261.4 20 273.4 24.4 249 15.4 683 2.995732 186 19.5 1 0 .54347825 .3894534 .348541 2017 "Jan" 270.7 18.2 287.3 21.1 253.4 15 684 2.9014215 187 18.1 1 1 -1.3565217 -1.5138497 -1.6064032 2017 "Feb" 277.1 16.1 294.8 17.5 259 14.6 685 2.778819 188 16.550001 1 1 -1.6565218 -1.817153 -1.4002457 2017 "Mar" 269.3 15.8 278.3 17 259.8 14.5 686 2.76001 189 15.575 1 1 .14347826 -.02045607 1.0343033 2017 "Apr" 259.7 14.6 257.6 14.7 261.4 14.5 687 2.6810215 190 14.325 1 1 -.7565218 -.9237592 -.7890332 2017 "May" 253.9 12.3 247.4 11.2 260.16 13.5 688 2.509599 191 12.625 1 0 -1.8565217 -2.0270624 -1.706327 2017 "Jun" 248.1 11.3 234.4 9.3 261.5 13.2 689 2.424803 192 11.275 1 0 -.5565217 -.7303655 .16750912 2017 "Jul" 243.6 10.2 225.4 7.4 261.5 12.7 690 2.3223877 193 10.25 1 0 -.6565217 -.8336686 -.21772502 2017 "Aug" 244.8 9.3 227.4 6.2 261.9 12.2 691 2.2300143 194 9.3 1 0 -.45652175 -.6369718 -.3826519 2017 "Sep" 254.2 8.4 244.3 5.1 263.8 11.6 692 2.1282318 195 8.6 1 0 -.45652175 -.640275 -.16336496 2017 "Oct" 258 8.3 250.4 4.8 265.3 11.7 693 2.1162555 196 8.275001 1 0 .3434783 .15642187 .3860808 2017 "Nov" 269 7.7 268.5 4.7 269.1 11 694 2.0412204 197 8.075001 1 0 -.15652174 -.3468813 -.20227936 2017 "Dec" 279.9 7.1 285.2 4.3 274.1 10 695 1.9600948 198 7.875 1 0 -.15652174 -.3501844 -.3452058 2018 "Jan" 0 8.1 0 7.6 0 9.6 696 2.091864 199 7.875 1 1 1.4434782 1.2465124 1.582055 2018 "Feb" 106.8 7.8 110.9 7.3 103.3 9.4 697 2.0541236 200 8.175 1 1 .14347826 -.05679074 -.5092982 2018 "Mar" 105.8 9.9 107.9 10.6 104 9.7 698 2.2925348 201 8.6 1 1 2.543478 2.3399062 2.2059016 2018 "Apr" 101.8 9.7 99.3 10 103.9 8.9 699 2.272126 202 8.85 1 1 .24347825 .03660295 -.6424274 2018 "May" 101.2 8.9 97.7 9.5 104.1 8.4 700 2.1860514 203 8.924999 1 0 -.3565217 -.5667002 -1.0424443 2018 "Jun" 101 8.6 96.5 9.1 104.6 8.2 701 2.1517622 204 8.975 1 0 .14347826 -.07000335 .4341835 2018 "Jul" 101.6 9 97.5 9.5 105 8.7 702 2.1972246 205 9.075 1 0 .8434783 .6266935 .6641505 2018 "Aug" 103 9.3 100.1 10.1 105.5 8.7 703 2.2300143 206 9.275 1 0 .7434782 .52339035 .3886841 2018 "Sep" 105.1 9.5 103.7 10.2 106.2 8.9 704 2.2512918 207 9.5 1 0 .6434783 .4200872 .13669455 2018 "Oct" 107.1 9.7 106.2 10.4 107.8 9.2 705 2.272126 208 9.65 1 0 .6434783 .41678405 .3053626 end format %tm mdate
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