Dear all

I am trying to estimate the effect that the civil conflict in Mozambique and Rwanda have had on the GDP per capita growth in the long run.

This was done by making a conflict dummy (= 1 if the conflict occurred - i.e. the years of the conflict, and zero otherwise) and a dynamic time series regression analysis was conducted.

The aim is to study how the post-conflict economies have differed since the 1990s.

I am now trying to generate a graph to show how to the GDP per capita trend line would have continued if the conflict had not occurred. My supervisor has requested that i overlay this with the observed empirical data (which shows a drastic drop in GDP per capita growth over the conflict years).

I am at a loss at what command to use and how i would show GDP per capita growth over the years if the dummy = 0. Basically, i want to predict the growth prior to the onset of the conflict to see how it would have continued.

Kind regards

Sophie

I am trying to estimate the effect that the civil conflict in Mozambique and Rwanda have had on the GDP per capita growth in the long run.

This was done by making a conflict dummy (= 1 if the conflict occurred - i.e. the years of the conflict, and zero otherwise) and a dynamic time series regression analysis was conducted.

The aim is to study how the post-conflict economies have differed since the 1990s.

I am now trying to generate a graph to show how to the GDP per capita trend line would have continued if the conflict had not occurred. My supervisor has requested that i overlay this with the observed empirical data (which shows a drastic drop in GDP per capita growth over the conflict years).

I am at a loss at what command to use and how i would show GDP per capita growth over the years if the dummy = 0. Basically, i want to predict the growth prior to the onset of the conflict to see how it would have continued.

Kind regards

Sophie

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