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  • Why are there three Constant Terms in Time Series FMOLS Estimation Results?

    Why do ı have three constant term in results table. Can anyone help with that?


    qui cointreg y1 x1 x2 x3 x4, est(fmols) eqtrend(0) eqdet(sdummymac1)
    qui est store sfmolsmacs1
    qui cointreg y1 x1 x2 x3 x4,, est(fmols) eqtrend(1) eqdet(tdummymac1)
    qui est store tfmolsmacs1
    estimates table sfmolsmacs1 tfmolsmacs1, b(%6.3f) se(%6.3f) p stats(N r2 r2_a rmse lrse) style(oneline)

    Variable sfmol~1 tfmol~1
    ------------ -------- ------------
    x1 0.008 -0.014
    0.006 0.005
    0.1598 0.003
    x2 -0.043 -0.3
    0.037 0.036
    0.2413 0
    x3 -0.002 0.001
    0.001 0.001
    0.004 0.076
    x4 -0.009 -0.009
    0.003 0.002
    0.0045 0.0001
    _cons 3.843
    0.549
    0
    linear 0.191
    0.04
    0
    _cons 4.585
    0.397
    0
    _cons -0.304 -0.009
    0.042 0.001
    0 0
    ------------ -------- ------------
    N 107 107
    r2 0.197 0.414
    r2_a 0.158 0.378
    rmse 0.167 0.127
    lrse 0.11 0.076

  • #2
    In this parameterization p1 represents the intercept before the shift, and p2 represents the change in the intercept at the time of the shift. We can also introduce a time trend into the level shift model. (Gregory-Hansen pq. 103 model 3)

    I got it one intercept is before break time, the other one is change in the intercept.

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