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  • Arellano-Bond test AR(2)

    Dear Statalisters,

    I have one doubt about the result of my Arellano-Bond test for autocorrelation in a gmm estimation.
    The Hansen test of joint validity is ok with a p-value bigger then 10% but not too high.
    The number of instruments is also ok, I have N=95 & T=20 and around 20 instruments.
    However the AR(2) has been giving me p-values of order 0.7 to 0.8. Until I know de AR test is not weaken as Hansen, so i don't know if these p-values are reliable or not.

    I'll really appreciate some light in this point. Thanks.

    . xtabond2 empshare L.empshare ln_gdppc ln_gdppc_2 ln_pop ln_pop_2 i.year2,
    > gmmstyle (L.empshare, lag(1 5)collapse)
    > iv(ln_gdppc ln_gdppc_2 ln_pop ln_pop_2 i.year2) orthogonal twostep robust

    Arellano-Bond test for AR(1) in first differences: z = -3.18 Pr > z = 0.001
    Arellano-Bond test for AR(2) in first differences: z = -0.26 Pr > z = 0.791
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Sargan test of overid. restrictions: chi2(4) = 14.17 Prob > chi2 = 0.007
    (Not robust, but not weakened by many instruments.)
    Hansen test of overid. restrictions: chi2(4) = 6.33 Prob > chi2 = 0.176
    (Robust, but weakened by many instruments.)

    Difference-in-Hansen tests of exogeneity of instrument subsets:
    GMM instruments for levels
    Hansen test excluding group: chi2(3) = 5.11 Prob > chi2 = 0.164
    Difference (null H = exogenous): chi2(1) = 1.22 Prob > chi2 = 0.269
    Last edited by Niko Sarafidis; 22 Feb 2019, 15:57.
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