I am encountering 2 issues when running probit regression on a data sample of corporate bonds. Essentially the data consist; dummy for downgraded bond, lagged short interest, lagged market cap and lagged stock return and a few more. I ran into 2 question. First there shows a note in the regression summary saying 42 failures. I searched for the official explanation but I don't think they are applicable.
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -45979.692
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -44061.666
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -43975.815
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -43975.59
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -43975.59
Probit regression Number of obs = 347,531
LR chi2(3) = 4008.20
Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
Log likelihood = -43975.59 Pseudo R2 = 0.0436
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
dummy_down | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
lag_ab_ss | 5.550842 .136764 40.59 0.000 5.282789 5.818895
lag_D_TA | -.0777935 .0274189 -2.84 0.005 -.1315336 -.0240534
lag_stock_monthly_return | -1.805196 .037271 -48.43 0.000 -1.878246 -1.732146
_cons | -1.919995 .0086601 -221.71 0.000 -1.936968 -1.903021
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: 42 failures and 0 successes completely determined.
Another issue is when running the regression, the process kept in generating iterations and showed back up the message.
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -46667.784
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -45413.223
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -45403.731
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -45403.724
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -45403.724
Iteration 5: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 6: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 7: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 8: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 9: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 10: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 11: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 12: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 13: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 14: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
below is a sample of my variable
Thanks a lot!
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -45979.692
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -44061.666
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -43975.815
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -43975.59
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -43975.59
Probit regression Number of obs = 347,531
LR chi2(3) = 4008.20
Prob > chi2 = 0.0000
Log likelihood = -43975.59 Pseudo R2 = 0.0436
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
dummy_down | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]
-------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
lag_ab_ss | 5.550842 .136764 40.59 0.000 5.282789 5.818895
lag_D_TA | -.0777935 .0274189 -2.84 0.005 -.1315336 -.0240534
lag_stock_monthly_return | -1.805196 .037271 -48.43 0.000 -1.878246 -1.732146
_cons | -1.919995 .0086601 -221.71 0.000 -1.936968 -1.903021
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Note: 42 failures and 0 successes completely determined.
Another issue is when running the regression, the process kept in generating iterations and showed back up the message.
Iteration 0: log likelihood = -46667.784
Iteration 1: log likelihood = -45413.223
Iteration 2: log likelihood = -45403.731
Iteration 3: log likelihood = -45403.724
Iteration 4: log likelihood = -45403.724
Iteration 5: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 6: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 7: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 8: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 9: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 10: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 11: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 12: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 13: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
Iteration 14: log likelihood = -45403.724 (backed up)
below is a sample of my variable
Code:
* Example generated by -dataex-. To install: ssc install dataex clear input float lag_stock_monthly_return .04285286 -.032464337 .04285286 . -.034371644 . -.032464337 .0700392 . -.15242745 -.0008014426 end
Comment