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  • How can I improve the R-squared in the Random Effect Model

    Have got a Random Effect Model results with relatively low R-squared, i will like to know if its possible to improve the R-squared in the Model.
    Thanks.
    Oluwaseyi

    Code:
    . xtreg ROA CR1 CR2 LR OR MR SIZE GDP, re
    
    Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs      =       112
    Group variable: Bank                            Number of groups   =        16
    
    R-sq:  within  = 0.1586                         Obs per group: min =         7
           between = 0.4481                                        avg =       7.0
           overall = 0.1983                                        max =         7
    
                                                    Wald chi2(7)       =     25.72
    corr(u_i, X)   = 0 (assumed)                    Prob > chi2        =    0.0006
    
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------
             ROA |      Coef.   Std. Err.      z    P>|z|     [95% Conf. Interval]
    -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
             CR1 |  -.1700334   .0541952    -3.14   0.002    -.2762541   -.0638127
             CR2 |  -.0114985   .0321967    -0.36   0.721    -.0746029    .0516059
              LR |   -.028556   .0262699    -1.09   0.277    -.0800441     .022932
              OR |  -.0451855   .0301742    -1.50   0.134    -.1043257    .0139548
              MR |  -.2029836   .0949081    -2.14   0.032    -.3890001   -.0169671
            SIZE |   .1798149   .1131103     1.59   0.112    -.0418772    .4015071
             GDP |   .2847649   .2394238     1.19   0.234    -.1844971     .754027
           _cons |   .1831775   .0624028     2.94   0.003     .0608703    .3054847
    -------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
         sigma_u |          0
         sigma_e |  .03621169
             rho |          0   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    If you are doing a hypothesis-driven study and this model is appropriate to your hypothesis test, it would be inappropriate to change anything for the purpose of "improving" the R2. The results are what they are.

    If you are doing exploratory modeling, and are trying to identify relationships among these variables, then I would recommend doing some graphical exploration to see if adding more variable or interaction terms, or transforming some variables would result in a better description of the data. That said, with only 16 groups and 7 predictor variables you are already stretching the limits of your data. There is an excellent chance that the model you have is already overfit and your R2 statistics are artifactually high.

    Comment


    • #3
      Thanks Clyde.

      Actually, my study is hypotheses driven....however, i might still need to detect if there exist a significant effect btw the dep_var and the indep_var. But then, in estimating the R-squared in the model, am i gonna report the between r-squared or the overall?. Thanks in advc.
      Last edited by Olalere Oluwaseyi; 10 Aug 2016, 09:11.

      Comment


      • #4
        That would depend on what your hypothesis is. If your hypothesis is about an effect between firrms/countries/whatever, then you would report the between R2. If our hypothesis is about an effect within firms/countries/whatever, then you would report the within R2. If your hypothesis incorporates both within- and between- entity effects, then the overall R2 is appropriate.

        Comment


        • #5
          Many researchers do not pay much attention to the r-square. I generally emphasize the difference in predicted value for a given change in x which is what most people using ROA as a dv are interested in. Such predictions are easily done with the margins command.

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