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  • Estat sbsingle - Structural Breaks test insufficient observations

    Dear Statalist,
    I'm currently analyzing a price database and I wanted to try to use structural breaks tests.
    Attached file contains a sample series.
    I run this simple (and very raw) regression looking for trend and seasonal effects with 12 dummies (d1-d12)

    Code:
    regress mp_price2 t d1-d12, noconstant 
    estat sbsingle, breakvars(t)
    My idea was that 150 observation could be enough to run this test, but STATA has a different opinion.
    Can someone please explain me why?

    I am aware that running a different code, let's say:
    Code:
    regress mp_price2 t, noconstant 
    estat sbsingle, breakvars(t)
    I would obtain a result instead.


    Test for a structural break: Unknown break date

    Number of obs = 150

    Full sample: 2003m1 - 2015m6
    Trimmed sample: 2004m12 - 2013m8
    Estimated break date: 2009m7
    Ho: No structural break

    Test Statistic p-value
    -----------------------------------------------
    swald 110.2370 0.0000
    -----------------------------------------------
    Exogenous variables: t
    Coefficients included in test: t



    What's my best chance to incorporate this result in another regression?

    Many thanks,

    Valerio
    Attached Files
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