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  • Calculating AAR and CAARS and then testing for statistical significance

    Hello everyone,
    i've calculated abnormal returns for my event window and now i want to calculate average abnormal returns (AAR) for every day t in my event window and also my cumulative average abnormal return (CAAR).
    Therefore i want to use the following formula:
    AARt=1N∑i=1NARi,t

    CAARi=∑t=T1+1T2AAR,ti,t

    with N: Number of observations = 151 Companies
    ARi,t: abnormal Return for security i on day t
    CAAR: cumulative abnormal return for the event_window

    here is my file with abnormal return data (sorry, i don't have stata at home. so i've uploaded it to dropbox. hope someone will give it a look anyway )

    https://www.dropbox.com/s/4xxisqckqt...turns.dta?dl=0

    Follwing commands i used to calculate AARs and CAAR:

    sort dif
    by dif: egen AAR = mean(abnormal_return)
    egen CAAR = sum(AAR)

    Now i want to test for statistical significance. Therefore i want to use the Cross-section test provided here (see photo below).
    Here are my commands i've used:

    sort dif
    by dif: egen AAR_sd = sd(abnormal_return)
    gen test =(sqrt(151)) * ( AAR /AAR_sd) //Formel: Wurzel(N)* (AAR/AAR_SD)

    so here is my question. my results for the t-value seem to be wrong. have i done something wrong? i searched for this problem here but couldn't find any answer.

    thanks for your help !

    Felix









    cross-sectional test

  • #2
    Sorry, here is the link for calculating the AARs and CAAR. http://www.eventstudytools.com/significance-tests#Csect

    Comment


    • #3
      Ok, problem solved....
      Now i want to create my variable CAAR.
      My data for my AARS looks like this.
      I want to create one variable "CAAR" which is the sum of the current AAR for Date t with the AARS of the dates before. For example the value of the CAAR for the 24oct2012 is: AAR253+AAR254+AAR255
      how can i do that?
      thanks in advance
      felix

      Code:
             +-----------------------+
             |      Date         AAR |
             |-----------------------|
        253. | 22oct2012    .0016806 |
        254. | 23oct2012    .0033284 |
        255. | 24oct2012   -.0026343 |
        256. | 25oct2012    .0013081 |
        257. | 26oct2012   -.0070921 |
             |-----------------------|
        258. | 31oct2012   -.0009182 |
        259. | 01nov2012   -.0100833 |
        260. | 02nov2012    .0010243 |
        261. | 05nov2012   -.0027614 |
        262. | 06nov2012    .0042589 |
             |-----------------------|
        263. | 07nov2012   -.0007319 |
        264. | 08nov2012    .0078595 |
        265. | 09nov2012   -.0025169 |
        266. | 12nov2012   -.0049136 |
        267. | 13nov2012   -.0040264 |
             |-----------------------|
        268. | 14nov2012    .0032638 |
        269. | 15nov2012   -.0016879 |
        270. | 16nov2012    .0022905 |
        271. | 19nov2012   -.0070145 |
        272. | 20nov2012    .0043224 |
             |-----------------------|
        273. | 21nov2012    .0030437 |
        274. | 23nov2012     .004581 |
        275. | 26nov2012    .0012823 |
        276. | 27nov2012    .0046554 |
        277. | 28nov2012   -.0160497 |
             |-----------------------|
        278. | 29nov2012     .013489 |
        279. | 30nov2012   -.0006666 |
        280. | 03dec2012   -.0008592 |
        281. | 04dec2012    .0113461 |
        282. | 05dec2012    .0030912 |
             |-----------------------|
        283. | 06dec2012    -.003946 |
        284. | 07dec2012    .0003843 |
        285. | 10dec2012   -.0095248 |
        286. | 11dec2012   -.0024391 |
        287. | 12dec2012    .0019716 |
             |-----------------------|
        288. | 13dec2012    .0041912 |
             +-----------------------+
      
      .

      Comment


      • #4
        No one can help me with this?

        Comment


        • #5
          Hey Felix! I am facing the very same problem now... Did you eventually manage to figure it out? Would highly appreciate if you could share your insights!

          Comment

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