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  • Mean reversion

    Dear fellow statalists,

    This is my first post on the forum, so apologies if my query is trivial. At this I will make first a few clarification, in my attempt to ensure that the question in well understood.

    Say I have a set of earnings data (across a set of firms for a 5 year window). Looking at the first year, I calculate the median earnings value across all firms. I proceed to create a new variable (net_earnings) equal to the difference between the actual and the year median. Afterwards, I allocate the firms into deciles according to net earnings.
    I repeat this for every year and theoretically I should obtain something like the graph below, where the differences to the mean become smaller as time passes. In other words, net_earnings would be tending towards a mean value.

    Is there a statistically reliable way to distinguish between fast vs slow reverting process ?

    A fast process in my mind is one that can take place in one period as oppose to five periods. In addition, there is also the element where a firm experiences such a high level of reversion that it moves from one decile to another (e.g. d10 -> d8).

    My overall aim would be to put a label (slow/normal/fast) for every firm year. Say if my overall time interval is 30 years, I intend to utilise 5 year rolling windows to label the degree of reversion a firm finds itself in that particular year.

    I would be very grateful for any advice. I have problems in conceptually grasping this relationship and implementing it with Stata.

    Best regards,
    Andrei
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