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  • Testing for exclusion of variables in the cointegrating vector

    I am doing a thesis on cointegration between international government bondmarket ideces and have done a multivariate johansen cointegration test for the G-7 countries indeces.

    Johansen tests for cointegration
    Trend: Constant Number of obs = 1,524
    Sample: 1993w7 thru 2022w22 Number of lags = 5
    --------------------------------------------------------------
    Critical
    Maximum Trace value
    rank Params LL Eigenvalue statistic 5%
    0 203 43300.758 . 139.1379 124.24
    1 216 43321.815 0.02726 97.0239 94.15
    2 227 43337.906 0.02090 64.8415* 68.52
    3 236 43350.96 0.01699 38.7335 47.21
    4 243 43358.987 0.01048 22.6808 29.68
    5 248 43364.932 0.00777 10.7913 15.41
    6 251 43368.605 0.00481 3.4444 3.76
    7 252 43370.327 0.00226
    --------------------------------------------------------------

    How would i test for exclusion of one or more of the variables? To check if some of the variables can be excluded from the cointegrating relationship.
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