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  • Interpreting Rosenbaum's bound test analysis. Am I doing it correctly?

    In the picture, I've attached below, the gamma value of 1.2 (Row 3) shows the result of Rosenbaum sensitivity analysis based on Wilcoxon sign rank test (Rosenbaum 2002).

    If I understand this right, an intuitive interpretation of this statistic is that the outcome estimate would remain significantly different from zero (p < 0.05) in the presence of a hidden bias that could cause the odds of being affected by treatment assignment, to differ by a factor as high as 1.2. In other words, even if the odds of one household receiving treatment/ intervention is only 1.2 times higher because of different values on unobserved covariates despite being identical on the matched covariates, our inference changes.

    This result also indicates that 90% confidence interval of the HL estimate would still exclude zero in the presence of an additive fixed hidden bias that could cause the odds of being affected to differ by a factor of 1.3.

    The general conclusion then is that while it would appear that the intervention has a positive treatment effect, the finding is sensitive to possible hidden bias due to an unobserved confounder. Am I right?



    Click image for larger version

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